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Huatai Securities: The main industrial chain of lithium battery pays attention to the opportunity of profit bottoming, and the new technology focuses on solid-state batteries. Huatai Securities said that the domestic market policy side is superimposed on the enterprise side, and the carbon emission assessment in Europe is overweight in 2025. It is expected that the global new energy vehicle market will maintain steady growth in 2025. Coupled with the rapid growth of energy storage, it is estimated that the global battery demand will reach 1544/1937GWh in 2024/2025, which is +30%/+25% year-on-year. In the fourth quarter, the demand for power and energy storage is improving, and the prices of some links of lithium battery have shown signs of stabilization. We are optimistic about the links with tight supply and demand pattern and strong differentiation, and the performance of related enterprises is expected to rise in volume and price next year. In terms of new technologies, solid-state batteries continue to be tested and promoted, composite aluminum foil is expected to be mass-produced next year, lithium-sodium mixed technology is gradually landing, and fast charging permeability is expected to increase. It is recommended to pay attention to the progress of new technology industries.New Zealand wants to persuade the United States not to impose tariffs after Trump takes office. New Zealand Finance Minister Nicola Willis said that after US President-elect Donald Trump takes office, New Zealand should be exempted from imposing comprehensive tariffs, and asked officials to be sensible to the United States. "Our initial position was please don't do this," Willis said in an interview in Wellington. "We let diplomats show the best of New Zealand."Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.

CICC: Cloud and terminal AI landing In 2025, the localization of semiconductors and components ushered in a new cycle. According to CICC's research report, in 2024, semiconductors and components as a whole were in the upward stage of prosperity. It is expected that inventory, supply and demand will stabilize in 2025, and AI cloud and terminal demand will land, and domestic elements will usher in a new cycle. It is expected that in 2025, the AI ​ ​ replacement tide is expected to accelerate the downstream demand growth of the semiconductor design sector. We are optimistic about the demand expansion of cloud and end-side computing chips driven by AI, and the alpha level of individual stocks is optimistic about the pull of product structure expansion on the performance of related companies, and it is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities brought by mergers and acquisitions for some tracks. It is expected that the supply and demand of chip manufacturing will approach a balance in 2025, and the capacity utilization rate will remain at a reasonable level; Among them, the research and development of advanced process manufacturing is expected to continue to advance, driving the development of equipment, parts, materials and design tools.The restricted shares with a market value of 644 million yuan were lifted today. Xishan Technology, Betray and Wanda Bearing were among the top companies in terms of market value. On Friday (December 13th), the restricted shares of eight companies were lifted, with a total lifting amount of 20,925,400 shares. According to the latest closing price, the total lifting market value was 644 million yuan. Judging from the amount of lifting the ban, Betray, Xishan Technology and Nanwang Technology were among the top, with 9,834,300 shares, 3,706,800 shares and 3,247,500 shares respectively. Judging from the market value of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by 0 companies exceeded 100 million yuan. Xishan Technology, Betray and Wanda Bearing are among the top companies in terms of market value, with market values of 246 million yuan, 229 million yuan and 76.73 million yuan respectively. From the perspective of the proportion of shares released from the ban to the total share capital, Xishan Technology, Wanda Bearing and Nanwang Technology are among the top, with 7.47%, 3.08% and 1.66% respectively.Thirteen companies disclosed the progress of repurchase, among which Green Energy Huichong and Ruike had the highest amount of laser repurchase plans. On December 13th, a total of 13 companies issued announcements on stock repurchase. Among them, two companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, four companies disclosed the progress of the implementation of stock repurchase, and seven companies have completed the implementation of the repurchase plan. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, Green Energy Huichong and Ruike Laser have the highest amount of repurchase plans, with the planned repurchase not exceeding 1.115 million yuan and 487,900 yuan respectively. Judging from the implementation progress of repurchase, Yuanli Technology, Jiuli Special Materials and Jack have the highest share repurchase amounts, with 33.1077 million yuan, 30.9807 million yuan and 3.2323 million yuan respectively. Judging from the completed repurchase, a total of one company repurchased more than 10 million on that day. Aerospace Rainbow, Aerospace Rainbow and Guanshi Technology have completed the highest repurchase amount, with 33.2989 million yuan, 2.479 million yuan and 2.1642 million yuan respectively.

The restricted shares with a market value of 644 million yuan were lifted today. Xishan Technology, Betray and Wanda Bearing were among the top companies in terms of market value. On Friday (December 13th), the restricted shares of eight companies were lifted, with a total lifting amount of 20,925,400 shares. According to the latest closing price, the total lifting market value was 644 million yuan. Judging from the amount of lifting the ban, Betray, Xishan Technology and Nanwang Technology were among the top, with 9,834,300 shares, 3,706,800 shares and 3,247,500 shares respectively. Judging from the market value of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by 0 companies exceeded 100 million yuan. Xishan Technology, Betray and Wanda Bearing are among the top companies in terms of market value, with market values of 246 million yuan, 229 million yuan and 76.73 million yuan respectively. From the perspective of the proportion of shares released from the ban to the total share capital, Xishan Technology, Wanda Bearing and Nanwang Technology are among the top, with 7.47%, 3.08% and 1.66% respectively.Yuejiang: It is planned to sell about 40 million H shares globally through the IPO of Hong Kong stocks. It is expected to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 23, and Yuejiang announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 13 that the company plans to sell about 40 million H shares globally, with Hong Kong public offering accounting for 5% and international offering accounting for 95%. The offer price will not be higher than HK$ 20.80 per offering share, and it is currently expected to be not lower than HK$ 18.80 per offering share, with 200 shares per lot. It is expected that the shares will start trading on the Stock Exchange at 9: 00 am on Monday, December 23, 2024, Hong Kong time.Yuejiang: It is planned to sell about 40 million H shares globally through the IPO of Hong Kong stocks. It is expected to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 23, and Yuejiang announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 13 that the company plans to sell about 40 million H shares globally, with Hong Kong public offering accounting for 5% and international offering accounting for 95%. The offer price will not be higher than HK$ 20.80 per offering share, and it is currently expected to be not lower than HK$ 18.80 per offering share, with 200 shares per lot. It is expected that the shares will start trading on the Stock Exchange at 9: 00 am on Monday, December 23, 2024, Hong Kong time.